Annual meeting of EFICAS project Annual meeting of EFICAS project
On 27-28 March in Luang Prabang the EFICAS project hold its annual meeting.
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Important events

Regional workshop: Scenarios for Future Food Security, Environment and Livelihoods in Southeast Asia, Ha Long, Vietnam, November 5 -7, 2013

02/11/2013

The CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS), the FAO Economics and Policy Innovations for Climate-Smart Agriculture (EPIC) Programme and UNEP/WCMC are coordinating their activities in Southeast Asia to develop and quantify participatory scenarios on the future of Food Security, Environments and Livelihood in three primary countries: the Kingdom of Cambodia, the Lao People’s Democratic Republic and Viet Nam.

According to http://ccafs.cgiar.org, the expected outcomes include:

·    Scenarios developed for South East Asia up to 2050 with key regional stakeholders across sectors and disciplines as well as through models - capturing how key socio-economic and governance uncertainties affect food security, environments and livelihoods/wellbeing in the region – and how socio-economic drivers interact with climate change.

·     Use of the CCAFS SEA scenarios to review and guide agricultural, food security, adaptation and/or mitigation policies, and investments, at the national and regional level (examples are FAO engagement in Northern Viet Nam, CCAFS planning in Cambodia).

·      Use of the CCAFS SEA scenarios in research projects to test the feasibility of research recommendations including technologies and strategies under different socio-economic/governance futures.

·   A network of regional stakeholders and partners who can use strategic planning tools such as scenarios and back-casting in their own organizations for adaptive governance toward improved food security, environments and livelihoods/wellbeing.

·    The CCAFS South East Asia scenarios process functions as a regional case study to link to global efforts such as the IPCC Shared Socio economic Pathways.

And, the scenarios development process consists of the following two steps:

 1.    The CCAFS scenarios process will engage a range of stakeholders from governments, civil society and NGOs, academia, the private sector and the media, at a national level but also from regional organizations and, where appropriate, global organizations, to actively engage in the development of socio-economic scenarios.

2.      These scenarios are then quantified using two global partial equilibrium models, IMPACT (developed by the International Food Policy Research Institute) and GLOBIOM (developed by the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis). Socio-economic scenarios developed by the participants will be combined with climate scenarios, in a process similar to that used by the IPCC-related global environmental change community (see figure 3). In this process, a socio-economic scenario can be combined with multiple climate scenarios and vice versa. Because of this, a socio-economic scenario that offers few opportunities for adaptation (for instance because of low investment in infrastructure and low government support of rural communities) will play out very differently under a low climate change scenario than under a high climate change scenario.

In cooperation with Northern Mountainous Agriculture and Forestry Science Institute (NOMAFSI) the first workshop for the scenarios development will be organized in Ha Long city of Vietnam, November 5 -7, 2013 with around 50 participants. Representatives from CANSEA and CANSEA member institutions will also attend the workshop.

For further reading refer to http://ccafs.cgiar.org

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